Low risk of rain on Holy Monday in Málaga, and at times that would not affect the processions
Aemet estimates that there could be a light shower between 8:00 AM and 2:00 PM, much before the brotherhoods start their routes.
Just like Palm Sunday, Holy Monday points to a full schedule of brotherhoods parading through the streets of Málaga. The forecast from the Aemet Meteorological Center indicates the possibility of light and scattered showers. However, if they occur, they are expected to fall during a time interval that will not interfere with the processions.
The only risk of wet ground is observed, according to the latest model updates, between 8:00 AM and 2:00 PM, when the probability rises to 60%. In any case, only "sparse rain" is expected during those hours. Subsequently, the risk drops to 30-35% in the following hours.
Therefore, unless there is a significant shift in the timing of the fronts, it is unlikely that, in the event of a shower, the statues will get wet. The processions this Holy Monday, marked by devotion to the Captive, will begin at 3:55 PM (Crucifixion), followed by Gitanos (4:45 PM); Passion (5:05 PM); Dolores del Puente (5:25 PM); Captive and Students (5:30 PM).
A much worse scenario is presented to the brotherhoods planning to parade on Holy Tuesday. This is seen as the most challenging day weather-wise of Holy Week. Aemet forecasts for April 15 that a low-pressure system located in the north, near the British Isles, might move slightly southward.
Therefore, it will bring showers inland, which can also reach the coast and the city of Málaga. This is the day when it is most likely that the fronts will reach the capital. Additionally, there will be a significant drop in temperatures, with a high of 21 degrees Celsius on the coast and 17 in Antequera (up to five degrees less than the previous days).
With the current forecast, the risk of precipitation is up to 90% in the capital from midday, especially between 12:00 PM and 3:00 PM. Although these could also continue at least until 6:00 PM.
In this scenario, several brotherhoods would be directly affected, especially Rocío: the Bride of Málaga is scheduled to depart from Victoria at 3:00 PM. Therefore, attention must be paid to the decisions of the Group regarding possible schedule changes, as already occurred on Palm Sunday.
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